Cost & value · Cost recovery · 7 min read

The file decides the percentage, not the spend

On a $1 billion project, the gap between 90% and 98% recovered is $80 million — and it isn’t decided by how much was spent. It is decided by the state of the file when the audit letter arrives.

Quick answer

Cost recovery is the process by which an operator reclaims allowable opex and capex from a host government or joint-venture partners under a production-sharing contract (PSC), production-sharing agreement (PSA) or comparable licence regime.

Over $600 billion of opex and capex is subject to cost recovery each year under PSC/PSA and licence regimes worldwide, yet typical recovery lands at only 85–95% of the original investment, according to powerabode’s own client record.

Cost recovery is usually filed under finance, and treated as an accounting formality that happens after the work is done. It is not. It is a negotiation an operator has with its own paperwork, months after the decisions that created it were made. This guide covers why the gap between 90% and 98% recovered on a $1 billion project is worth $80 million, the four leakage points that quietly determine where an operator lands inside the 85–95% band, and why recovery breaks down specifically because it starts a year after the cost is incurred — once the people and the evidence have moved on.

What cost recovery actually is, and why the ceiling sits at 85–95%

Cost recovery is not a reimbursement formality. It is a negotiation the operator has with its own paperwork, months after the decisions that created it were made.

Under a PSC, PSA or comparable licence regime, an operator is entitled to recover allowable costs from production before profit is split with the host government or partners. It sounds mechanical — spend the money, claim it back. In practice, powerabode’s own client work puts the typical recovery rate at only 85% to 95% of the original investment, against more than $600 billion in opex and capex subject to cost recovery globally each year. The distance between the bottom and the top of that band is not a rounding error: on a $1 billion project, the gap between 90% and 98% recovered is $80 million — money that was spent, but is simply kept by the regime or forfeited by the operator depending on how well the underlying file was built.

That number rewards good practice, too. powerabode’s own case record includes a 99.7% cost recovery outcome on a major Middle East venture — the highest recovery level in that operator’s history, and above the commonly accepted 85–95% band entirely. The distance between a typical result and that outcome isn’t a different regime or a more generous host government. It is the file.

The four leakage points inside every recovery file

Recovery rarely fails all at once. It fails in four specific, recurring ways, and each one is visible well before the audit if anyone is looking.

Across engagements, powerabode identifies four recurring leakage points inside a typical cost-recovery file. None of them are exotic; all of them are common enough to explain most of the gap between a mediocre recovery outcome and a defensible one.

  • Disallowed cost — spend that falls outside the regime’s definition of recoverable cost, often because the original coding or classification wasn’t built with the regime’s language in mind.
  • Time leakage and inflation — cost that was real and recoverable at the time it was incurred, but loses defensibility the longer it sits unclaimed, unindexed or unexplained.
  • Gold-plated specifications — scope or spec beyond what the regime or the joint venture agreed was necessary, which an auditor will query and an operator often cannot fully defend after the fact.
  • Efficiency failure and non-recoverable operational realities — costs generated by inefficiency in execution rather than by the underlying work itself, which most regimes were never designed to reimburse.

Why recovery breaks down after the people leave

A recovery process that starts a year after the spend is not really auditing the cost. It is reconstructing a memory.

The structural problem with cost recovery is timing, not intent. Recovery usually starts roughly a year after the cost is incurred — by which point the field team has moved on, the contractors involved have demobilised, and the evidence that would justify the claim is scattered across systems, inboxes and people who no longer work the file. A dynamic field environment compounds this: project phases bring in different contractors and different people at each stage, and once operations start, an entirely new team inherits a cost-recovery obligation it had no part in creating. It is the same pattern that makes the contract-holder community the largest unmanaged team in most companies.

This is why, in most organisations, the recovery file is opened for the first time when the audit letter arrives — at exactly the moment when reconstructing intent, entitlement and evidence is hardest and most expensive. The percentage an operator ultimately recovers is set, in practice, at that moment: not by what was spent, but by whether the file can withstand the question a decent auditor is going to ask.

Day-One Readiness vs. the Recovery Readiness Assessment

There are only two honest starting points: build the file as the work happens, or go back and find out how much was already lost.

For a new venture, the fix is structural: encode the recovery regime before spend begins, so evidence is captured as the work happens rather than reconstructed afterward — what powerabode’s Cost Recovery product line calls Day-One Readiness. The recovery file effectively writes itself alongside the project, through The Workbench, rather than being assembled retrospectively by a team that wasn’t there when the cost was incurred.

For an asset that is already operating, the honest first step is a Recovery Readiness Assessment: establishing the distance between what has actually been recovered and what the regime allows. It is, in the firm’s own words, archaeology — honestly named, but archaeology that produces a cheque. That distinction matters for how a joint venture or an operator should scope the engagement: a Day-One build is a design problem; an existing asset is a diagnostic one, and conflating the two usually means over- or under-scoping the work.

What a defensible recovery file actually contains

A defensible file answers the auditor’s question before it is asked, in the regime’s own language, with the entitlement and the evidence attached to the same line item.

None of this is about forensic accounting after the fact. It is, at core, a governance question: does the organisation’s contract-management discipline generate evidence as a byproduct of doing the work, or does it generate evidence only when someone is asked to produce it? World Commerce & Contracting research puts the average value loss across contracts generally — not cost-recovery-specific, but directly relevant to the same discipline gap — at 9.2%, occurring specifically during the post-award phase of contract management, where cost recovery also lives.

The finding tracks with what shows up in independent joint-venture audits: as advisory firm Kroll describes, non-operators routinely use their audit rights specifically to test cost allocation, overhead charges and revenue accounting against the operating agreement — which means an operator’s own recovery file is being tested by someone else whether or not the operator tests it first.

The operators who land near 99% rather than 85% aren’t spending less, or negotiating harder with the regulator. They are simply the ones whose evidence, entitlement and process discipline were built before the audit moment, not assembled in response to it.

Cost recovery sits inside powerabode’s wider Services Chain and is one of the seven stages built into The Workbench.

  • Cost Recovery — Day-One Readiness for new ventures, and the Recovery Readiness Assessment for existing assets.
  • Cost Recovery (service) — the fixed-scope, fixed-fee engagement for operators already mid-recovery.
  • The Workbench — where the recovery regime is encoded and evidence is captured as the work happens, not reconstructed afterward.
  • Cost & Value Intelligence — the doctrine behind why rate, efficiency and specification are treated as three separate levers of value.

Shagoofa van Nuland-Asma MBA — Managing Director & Founder, powerabode

About powerabode

Shagoofa headed supply chain, contracting and procurement functions across the Netherlands, Europe and the Middle East, including in Iraq. She won a CFO award for offshore cost optimisation before co-founding powerabode in 2018, and developed the Cost & Value Intelligence philosophy the firm’s cost-recovery work is built on.

Reviewed by Hieronymus J. van Nuland, Chairman & Founder, powerabode, who co-founded the firm in 2018 in The Hague and Dubai, drawing on a career spanning underground energy infrastructure and frontline commercial work with IOCs and NOCs across Europe and the Middle East.

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Frequently asked questions

What is cost recovery in oil and gas?

Cost recovery is the mechanism by which an operator reclaims allowable operating and capital expenditure from production revenue under a production-sharing contract, production-sharing agreement or comparable licence, before profit is split with the host government or partners.

What counts as a disallowed cost in cost recovery?

A disallowed cost is spend that falls outside the specific definition of recoverable cost set out in the PSC, PSA or licence — often because the original cost coding wasn’t built to match the regime’s own language and categories.

Is cost recovery only a retrospective, after-the-fact process?

No. The strongest position is Day-One Readiness, where the recovery regime is encoded into the operating model before spend begins, so evidence is captured as work happens rather than reconstructed months or years later.

What is the difference between Day-One Readiness and a Recovery Readiness Assessment?

Day-One Readiness is built into a new venture from the start, encoding the regime before spend begins. A Recovery Readiness Assessment is for existing assets, establishing the gap between what has already been recovered and what the regime actually allows.

How much value do companies typically lose to poor contract governance?

World Commerce & Contracting research puts the average value loss across contracts broadly at 9.2%, occurring during the post-award phase of contract management — the same phase where cost-recovery evidence is built or lost.

Who is responsible for cost recovery on a joint venture?

The operator typically builds and defends the cost-recovery file, but non-operating partners hold audit rights under the joint operating agreement and routinely exercise them to test cost allocation and overhead charges independently.

Summary

  • Typical PSC/PSA cost recovery lands at 85–95% of spend — a band worth tens of millions of dollars on any billion-dollar asset, decided by the state of the file, not the size of the spend.
  • Four leakage points — disallowed cost, time leakage and inflation, gold-plated specs, and efficiency failure — account for most of the gap between a mediocre and a defensible recovery outcome.
  • The fix is timing: build the recovery file as the work happens (Day-One Readiness) rather than reconstructing it a year later when the audit letter arrives.

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Continue reading: Cost Recovery — audit-ready recovery built into daily workflows.

References

  1. Cost Recovery: the file decides the percentage. powerabode. Accessed 8 September 2026.
  2. Average value loss in contract management. World Commerce & Contracting. Accessed 8 September 2026.
  3. Joint Venture Audits in the Oil and Gas Industry. Kroll. Accessed 8 September 2026.

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